Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.176260 0.208113 0.243751 0.286533 0.336455 0.392825 0.461263
2025-08-24 0.129101 0.170075 0.220819 0.288096 0.374761 0.482440 0.626181
2025-08-31 0.098799 0.141325 0.198147 0.279253 0.391630 0.541374 0.755527
2025-09-07 0.082475 0.126239 0.188471 0.282803 0.421454 0.616910 0.912305
2025-09-14 0.069796 0.113382 0.178830 0.283377 0.445113 0.684465 1.063783
2025-09-21 0.058959 0.101112 0.167621 0.279022 0.459494 0.738467 1.199729
2025-09-28 0.050922 0.091793 0.159272 0.277301 0.476702 0.797350 1.348224
2025-10-05 0.047117 0.088847 0.160622 0.291147 0.520097 0.901458 1.579347
2025-10-12 0.044489 0.087481 0.164285 0.309078 0.571996 1.024342 1.853914
2025-10-19 0.040838 0.083626 0.162917 0.317672 0.608173 1.123694 2.097738
2025-10-26 0.036608 0.077989 0.157456 0.317861 0.628805 1.197338 2.302820
2025-11-02 0.031849 0.070559 0.147560 0.308221 0.629644 1.234777 2.444870
2025-11-09 0.026905 0.062217 0.135213 0.293120 0.620049 1.255365 2.564894
2025-11-16 0.024142 0.058149 0.131052 0.294226 0.643141 1.341642 2.822835
2025-11-23 0.020913 0.052474 0.122649 0.285161 0.644015 1.383955 2.997778
2025-11-30 0.019098 0.049763 0.120280 0.288780 0.671981 1.483750 3.300231
2025-12-07 0.017291 0.046761 0.116800 0.289365 0.693256 1.571634 3.586744
2025-12-14 0.015394 0.043200 0.111486 0.284922 0.702555 1.634669 3.826148
2025-12-21 0.013885 0.040382 0.107541 0.283165 0.717744 1.712004 4.104926
2025-12-28 0.013365 0.040136 0.109935 0.297292 0.772308 1.883318 4.613407
2026-01-04 0.013061 0.040443 0.113782 0.315585 0.839141 2.089490 5.222889
2026-01-11 0.012331 0.039403 0.113949 0.324352 0.883236 2.246685 5.732596
2026-01-18 0.011312 0.037332 0.111038 0.324545 0.905458 2.353680 6.132350